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Turnbull Stakes Tips - Who does history point towards winning the Turnbull Stakes at Flemington?

  • Four-year-olds and six-year-olds have owned this race
  • Favourites have a mixed record in the Turnbull. Green Moon in 2012 the last popular elect to score
  • Sunline, Northerly and Makybe Diva are former winners of the Flemington feature
Preferment took out the Turnbull Stakes in 2015

The Group 1 Turnbull Stakes is traditionally a classic lead up race to the spring majors and boasts an impressive honour roll of gallopers that have saluted in the Flemington feature, including champions Makybe Diva (2005), Northerly (2002) and Sunline (2001). 

The Turnbull is run over the 2000m at Flemington and carries prizemoney of $500,000. 

Looking at the history of the Turnbull Stakes since the year 2000, there are a few things to keep in mind when it comes to picking a winner and we see that is has generally been a mixed one for favourite backers. 

Green Moon (2012) at $4 is the most recent popular elect to win the race and he followed and December Draw at $2.10 in 2011. Six favourites have won the race since 2000. 

Last year’s winner, Preferment, started at $10 and rolled the favoured pair of Hartnell and Amralah. Happy Trails in 2013, along with Efficient in 2009, at $26 are the highest priced winners since 2000. The average price of the winners since 2000 has been $10. 

This year, the in-form galloper, Hartnell, has been posted a $2.15 favourite with William Hill, while Jameka is $6.50. The Robert Hickmott contender, The United States, is $6.50, while Raw Impulse at $9 is the only other runner at single figure odds. 

For fans of Hartnell, the hot fancy has drawn ideally in Barrier 4. This has produced multiple winners since 2000, as have Barrier No.s 2, 4 and 8. The United States, Preferment and Tarzino have drawn these spots. 

An interesting statistic is the domination of four-year-olds and six-year-olds in the event. Horses belonging to these age categories have won the race on seven occasions apiece, for a total of 14 out of 16 times since 2000. 

This year, horses aged four include Tarzino and Tally as well as the two mares, Jameka and Sofia Rosa, while the six-year-olds include Hartnell, De Little Engine and Second Bullet. 

Four mares have won the race since 2000 including champion gallopers Sunline and Makybe Diva as well as Devil Moon and Lucia Valentina. 

The most successful trainer’s since 2000 have been Robert Hickmott, Mark Kavanagh and Lee Freedman with two wins apiece. 

Robert Hickmott trained Green Moon and Zipping (2010) to victory and saddles up The United States this year. The owner of those horses, Lloyd Williams, also had victory in the event with Efficient in 2009 when John Sadler was the stable trainer. 

Successful jockeys in the race include Greg Childs, Steven King and Nick Hall who have all ridden two winners since 2000. Nick Hall takes the ride on Jameka this year. 

Finally, the key lead up race to the Turnbull is the Underwood Stakes (1800m), which has provided six winners of the Turnbull since 2000. Tarzino is the only galloper to have come out of that race this year. 

Four winners have come out of the Dato Tan Chin Nam Stakes (1600m) and The United States had his last run in that lead up. Jameka and Set Square also ran at the Valley but their most recent run was at Caulfield in the Naturalism Stakes (2000m). 




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Turnbull Stakes Tips - Who does history point towards winning the Turnbull Stakes at Flemington?

How do recent trends help us find the winner of the Turnbull Stakes on Sunday October 2?

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